The live table and the model's projected finish from here — expected final points and each club's probability of landing in each band.
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds United | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich Town | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 6 |
| 14 | Coventry City | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | AFC Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 | Tottenham Hotspur | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 | Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 2 |
| Team | E[Pts] | 5–95% | Title | UCL | UEL | UECL | Releg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 82.6 | 69–95 | |||||
| 2 | Arsenal | 80.4 | 68–92 | |||||
| 3 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 67.8 | 55–81 | |||||
| 4 | Chelsea | 63.9 | 48–80 | |||||
| 5 | Brentford | 60.8 | 49–73 | |||||
| 6 | Liverpool | 60.4 | 48–73 | |||||
| 7 | Manchester United | 55.6 | 43–68 | |||||
| 8 | Leeds United | 55.2 | 43–68 | |||||
| 9 | Newcastle United | 51.5 | 38–65 | |||||
| 10 | Everton | 49.1 | 37–61 | |||||
| 11 | Aston Villa | 46.9 | 33–61 | |||||
| 12 | AFC Bournemouth | 44.9 | 33–57 | |||||
| 13 | Tottenham Hotspur | 44.8 | 31–59 | |||||
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 44.1 | 32–57 | |||||
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 42.9 | 31–55 | |||||
| 16 | Fulham | 42.2 | 30–55 | |||||
| 17 | Sunderland | 42.1 | 31–54 | |||||
| 18 | Hull City | 38.7 | 27–52 | |||||
| 19 | Ipswich Town | 37.9 | 26–51 | |||||
| 20 | Coventry City | 33.0 | 21–46 |