The live table and the model's projected finish from here — expected final points and each club's probability of landing in each band.
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 | Hull City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 6 |
| 5 | Brentford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| 6 | Newcastle United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 7 | Everton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
| 8 | Leeds United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 3 |
| 10 | Manchester United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 3 |
| 12 | Ipswich Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 2 |
| 14 | AFC Bournemouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Fulham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Coventry City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
| 20 | Tottenham Hotspur | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
| Team | E[Pts] | 5–95% | Title | UCL | UEL | UECL | Releg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 79.5 | 67–92 | |||||
| 2 | Manchester City | 77.2 | 62–91 | |||||
| 3 | Chelsea | 67.0 | 49–85 | |||||
| 4 | Liverpool | 64.5 | 51–78 | |||||
| 5 | Brentford | 60.3 | 48–73 | |||||
| 6 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 59.9 | 45–75 | |||||
| 7 | Manchester United | 58.9 | 46–72 | |||||
| 8 | Newcastle United | 55.0 | 40–70 | |||||
| 9 | Aston Villa | 52.9 | 37–69 | |||||
| 10 | Tottenham Hotspur | 51.2 | 35–67 | |||||
| 11 | Everton | 51.0 | 38–64 | |||||
| 12 | Leeds United | 49.8 | 37–63 | |||||
| 13 | AFC Bournemouth | 49.6 | 37–63 | |||||
| 14 | Nottingham Forest | 46.4 | 33–60 | |||||
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 43.6 | 30–58 | |||||
| 16 | Fulham | 42.5 | 30–56 | |||||
| 17 | Sunderland | 41.2 | 29–54 | |||||
| 18 | Hull City | 36.1 | 23–51 | |||||
| 19 | Ipswich Town | 35.6 | 22–51 | |||||
| 20 | Coventry City | 28.3 | 15–43 |